|
The
Voice of the White House
Washington
,
D.C.
,
April 24, 2008
: “I had a very interesting
conversation on Sunday with a friend of my wife’s. It was
concerned with the huge and growing number of Americans who are
falling deeper and deeper into debt and struggling to pay such vital
bills as food and rent.
Today
(
April
24, 2008
ed.)
the New York Times ran a front page article on the outsourcing of
telephone debt collections to
India
.
Much of what my wife’s friend was borne out by this article but
because the subject is of great, and growing, interest, I am putting
all of this together for the interest of the public.
With
millions of Americans falling behind on debt payments, the larger
debt-collecting companies are outsourcing their collection methods
to
India
.
There, the trained operators call the American debtor on the phone.
They remind them that they will probably be getting tax rebates and
that perhaps they could pay “just a little” on their back bill.
Even a few dollars would show their really good intentions.
Do
not trust this approach because it is a snare and a delusion. In
most cases, the debts involved have passed the statute of
limitations and not only is it impossible to sue for the unpaid
balances but the debt itself has vanished from the credit report
system. By sending in even a dollar on the back balance, the debt is
automatically renewed again and further harassments, phone calls,
registered letters and debt-collection suits can, and will, follow.
The
best advice here is not to send in a penny.
Here
are some other valuable suggestions to save your capital and avoid
harassment.
As
almost all bill collecting now is done either by phone call or by
mail, why not change your phone number? First, call your carrier and
stop service, being very sure to pay the back bill, Then, after
suffering a short period when you have no phone, start up again with
a new carrier but under a different name. Why? Because the phone
companies will supply to bill collectors, lists of their customers
for a fee. So if you shut down the Bill Jones number and just start
up under the same name but with a different carrier, be certain the
bill collectors will very soon have the new number.
And
when you get the new account (if they want other numbers you have
recently used, tell the person at the new service that you have been
out of the country, serving with the Armed Forces) To be even safer,
you might want to have an unpublished number. If you have a new
number under a new name and an unlisted service, you might also wish
to add a caller ID to your service.
That,
in and of itself, will shut off bothersome calls but if you really
want to clean up your act, find a local mailbox service and rent a
box. Give them an old address. That way, all your current bills,
letters and magazines will go to that address and be reported to
various agencies of interest. Then, with the new address, send in to
the USPS a form indicating a change of address. Do not give them the
drop address but another, more creative, one. One good new address
is:
350
5th Ave.
,
New
York
,
NY
10018
.
This is the huge
Empire
State
Building
in
New
York
with thousands of people working there.
The
post office does not know which office number or which floor is
involved so eventually the mail is returned. Or you could give the
address of a local hotel or a huge office complex. In any case, you
are giving a legitimate address and it will take weeks for the
letter or bill to be returned to the sender as undeliverable.
Speaking
of returned mail, go to a local firm that makes up rubber stamps and
have one done that says ‘DECEASED’
on it. Then, if and when a new bill comes in to the drop address,
you can stamp this in red ink on the surface and take it to any USPS
station and drop it into a mail slot.
As almost all bill collecting is done by phone these
days, these simple steps should materially ensure your continued
privacy. This is a subject of increasing interest and we will have
further informative and helpful suggestions at a later date.”
Mother
Israel: God’s Gift to Rodents
Pro-Israel
Group Clandestinely Targets Wikipedia
http://desertpeace.wordpress.com/2008/04/21/the-camera-eyes-in-on-israel-and-lies/
A pro-Israel
pressure group is orchestrating a secret, long-term campaign to
infiltrate the popular online encyclopedia Wikipedia to rewrite
Palestinian history, pass off crude propaganda as fact, and take
over Wikipedia administrative structures to ensure these changes go
either undetected or unchallenged.
A series of emails
by members and associates of the pro-Israel group CAMERA (Committee
for Accuracy in Middle East Reporting in
America
), provided to The Electronic Intifada (EI),
indicate the group is engaged in what one activist termed a
“war” on Wikipedia.
A 13 March action
alert signed by Gilead Ini, a “Senior Research Analyst” at
CAMERA, calls for “volunteers who can work as ‘editors’ to
ensure” that Israel-related articles on Wikipedia are “free of
bias and error, and include necessary facts and context.” However,
subsequent communications indicate that the group not only wanted to
keep the effort secret from the media, the public, and Wikipedia
administrators, but that the material they intended to introduce
included discredited claims that could smear Palestinians and
Muslims and conceal Israel’s true history.
With over two
million articles in English on every topic imaginable, Wikipedia has
become a primary reference source for Internet users around the
world and a model for collaboratively produced projects. Openness
and good faith are among Wikipedia’s core principles. Any person
in the world can write or edit articles, but Wikipedia has strict
guidelines and procedures for accountability intended to ensure
quality control and prevent vandalism, plagiarism or distortion. It
is because of these safeguards that articles on key elements of the
Palestine-Israel conflict have generally remained well-referenced,
useful and objective. The CAMERA plan detailed in the e-mails
obtained by EI appears intended to circumvent these controls.
In the past, CAMERA
has gained notoriety for its tactic of accusing virtually anyone who
does not toe a right-wing pro-Israel line of bias. The group has
even accused editors and reporters of the Israeli daily Haaretz
of being “extreme” and participating in “radical anti-Israel
activity.” Jeffrey Dvorkin, the former ombudsman of National
Public Radio (NPR), frequently criticized by CAMERA for an alleged
pro-Palestinian bias, wrote on the web publication Salon in February
2008 that “as a consequence of its campaign against NPR, CAMERA
acted as the enabler for some seriously disturbed people,” citing
persistent telephone threats he received in the wake of CAMERA
campaigns.
Need
for stealth and secrecy
Throughout the
documents EI obtained, CAMERA operatives stress the need for stealth
and secrecy. In his initial action alert, Ini requests that
recipients “not forward it to members of the news media.” In a
17 March follow-up email sent to volunteers, Ini explains that he
wants to make the orchestrated effort appear to be the work of
unaffiliated individuals. Thus he advises that “There is no need
to advertise the fact that we have these group discussions.”
Anticipating
possible objections to CAMERA’s scheme, Ini conjectures that
“Anti-Israel editors will seize on anything to try to discredit
people who attempt to challenge their problematic assertions, and
will be all too happy to pretend, and announce, that a ‘Zionist’
cabal (the same one that controls the banks and Hollywood?) is
trying to hijack Wikipedia.”
But stealth and
misrepresentation are presented as the keys to success. Ini suggests
that after volunteers sign up as editors for Wikipedia they should
“avoid editing Israel-related articles for a short period of
time.” This strategy is intended to “avoid the appearance of
being one-topic editors,” thus attracting unwanted attention.
Ini counsels that
volunteers “might also want to avoid, for obvious reasons, picking
a user name that marks you as pro-Israel, or that lets people know
your real name.” To further conceal the identity of
CAMERA-organized editors, Ini warns, “don’t forget to always log
in before making [edits]. If you make changes while not logged in,
Wikipedia will record your computer’s IP address” — a number
that allows identification of the location of a computer connected
to the Internet.
A veteran Wikipedia
editor, known as “Zeq,” who according to the emails is colluding
with CAMERA, also provided advice to CAMERA volunteers on how they
could disguise their agenda. In a 20 March email often in misspelled
English, Zeq writes, “You don’t want to be precived [sic] as a
‘CAMERA’ defender’ on wikipedia [sic] that is for sure.” One
strategy to avoid that is to “edit articles at random, make
friends not enemies — we will need them later on. This is a
marathon not a sprint.”
Zeq also identifies,
in a 25 March email, another Wikipedia editor, “Jayjg,” whom he
views as an effective and independent pro-Israel advocate. Zeq
instructs CAMERA operatives to work with and learn from Jayjg, but
not to reveal the existence of their group even to him fearing “it
would place him in a bind” since “[h]e is very loyal to the
wikipedia [sic] system” and might object to CAMERA’s underhanded
tactics.
“Uninvolved
administrators”
The emphasis on
secrecy is apparently not only to aid the undetected editing of
articles, but also to facilitate CAMERA’s takeover of key
administrator positions in Wikipedia.
For Zeq a key goal
is to have CAMERA operatives elected as administrators — senior
editors who can override the decisions of others when controversies
arise. When disputes arise about hotly contested topics, such as
Israel
and
Palestine
, often only an “uninvolved
administrator” — one who is considered neutral because he or she
has not edited or written articles on the topic — can arbitrate.
Hence, Zeq advises
in a 21 March email that “One or more of you who want to take this
route should stay away from any Israel realted [sic] articles for
one month until they [sic] interact in a positive way with 100
wikipedia [sic] editors who would be used later to vote you as an
administrator.”
Once these CAMERA
operatives have successfully infiltrated as “neutral” editors,
they could then exercise their privileges to assert their own
political agenda.
In addition, Zeq
suggests making deliberately provocative edits to Palestine-related
articles. He hopes that editors he assumes are Palestinian will
delete these changes, and then CAMERA operatives could report them
to administrators so they could be sanctioned and have their editing
privileges suspended.
Passing
propaganda as fact
Gilead Ini’s 17
March email provides specific advice on how to pass off pro-Israel
propaganda or opinion as fact meeting Wikipedia’s strict
guidelines:
“So,
for example, imagine that you get rid of or modify a problematic
sentence in an article alleging that ‘Palestinian [sic] become
suicide bombers to respond to
Israel
’s oppressive
policies.’ You should, in parallel leave a comment on that
article’s discussion page (either after or before making the
change). Avoid defending the edit by arguing that ‘
Israel
’s policies aren’t
‘oppression,’ they are defensive. And anyway Palestinians
obviously become suicide bombers for other reasons for example hate
education!’ Instead, describe how this sentence violates
Wikipedia’s policies and guidelines. One of the core principles is
that assertions should adhere to a Neutral Point of View, usually
abbreviated NPOV. (The opposite of NPOV is POV, or Point of View,
which is basically another way of saying subjective statement, or
opinion.) So it would be best to note on the discussion page that
‘This sentence violates Wikipedia’s NPOV policy, since the
description of
Israel
’s policies as
‘oppressive’ is an opinion. In addition, it is often noted by
Middle East experts that one of the reasons Palestinians decide to
become suicide bombers is hate education and glorification of
martyrdom in Palestinian society …’”
In
fact, there have been numerous studies debunking claims about
Palestinian “hate education,” or “glorification of
martyrdom” causing suicide bombings (such as Dying
to Win by
University of Chicago political scientist Robert Pape) though this
claim remains a favorite canard of pro-Israel activists seeking to
distract attention from the effects of Israel’s occupation and
other well-documented and systematic human rights abuses in fueling
violence.
Zeq specifically
names articles targeted for this kind of treatment including those
on the 1948 Palestinian Exodus, Causes of the 1948 Palestinian
exodus, Hamas, Hizballah, Arab citizens of Israel, anti-Zionism, al-Nakba,
the Palestinian people, and the Palestinian right of return.
Interestingly the
CAMERA editors also target the article on the early Islamic period
concept of Dhimmi, a protected status for non-Muslims which
historically allowed Jews to thrive in Muslim-ruled lands while
other Jews were being persecuted in Christian Europe. Pro-Israel
activists have often tried to portray the concept of Dhimmi
as akin to the
Nuremberg
laws in order to denigrate Muslim
culture and justify ahistorical Zionist claims that Jews could never
live safely in majority Muslim countries.
Also among the
emails is a discussion about how to alter the article on the
massacre of Palestinian civilians in the
village
of
Deir Yassin
by Zionist militiamen on
9 April 1948
. Unable to debunk the facts of the
massacre outright, the CAMERA activists hunt for quotes from
“reputable historians” who can cast doubt on it. Their strategy
is not dissimilar from those who attempt to present evolution, or
global climate change as “controversial” regardless of the
weight of the scientific evidence, simply because the facts do not
accord with their belief system.
Zeq has already made
extensive edits to the Wikipedia article on Rachel Corrie, the
American peace activist murdered by an Israeli soldier in the
occupied Gaza Strip on
16 March 2003
. As a result of these and other edits
Zeq has himself been a controversial figure among Wikipedia editors,
suggesting his own stealth tactics may not be working.
“We
will go to war”
Zeq, however,
counsels CAMERA operatives to be patient and lie low until they
build up their strength. “We will go to war after we have build
our army, equiped it trained [sic],” he wrote on 9 April. “So
please if you want to win this war help us build ou[r] army. let’s
not just rush in and achieve nothing, or abit more than nothing
[sic].”
Jimmy
Carter: Emissary of Evil
April
16, 2008
by
Ben Shapiro
Townhall.com
Jimmy
Carter is an evil man. It is painful to label a past president of
the
United
States
as a force
for darkness. But it is dangerous to let a man like Jimmy Carter
stalk around the globe cloaked in the garb of American royalty,
planting the seeds of Western civilization's destruction.
On
Tuesday, former President Carter met with leaders of the terrorist
group Hamas. He embraced
Nasser
al-Shaer,
the man who has run the Palestinian education system, brainwashing
children into believing Jews are the descendants of pigs and dogs.
He laid a wreath at the grave of Yasser Arafat, the most notorious
terrorist thug of the 20th century. Then, he had the audacity to
offer to act as a conduit between the Palestinian Arabs and the
Israeli and
U.S.
governments. This is somewhat like Lord Haw-Haw offering to broker
peace between the German and British governments during World War
II.
Carter
is a notorious anti-Semite and an even more notorious terrorism-
enabler. In particular, he is a huge supporter of Palestinian
violence. He considered himself a friend to Arafat, as Jay
Nordlinger of National Review wrote in his masterful 2002 piece,
"Carterpalooza!": After the Gulf War, when
Saudi
Arabia
was
perturbed by Arafat's support for Saddam Hussein, Carter flew to the
country at Arafat's behest to soothe the Saudis. In 1990, Carter
told Arafat, "You should not be concerned that I am biased. I
am much more harsh with the Israelis." He then proceeded to
agree with Arafat that "the Reagan administration was not
renowned as promise keepers," according to Douglas Brinkley.
Carter
subsequently wrote one of Arafat's speeches, penning these
vomit-inducing lines: "A good opening would be to outline the
key points of the Save the Children report Then ask: 'What would you
do, if these were your children and grandchildren? As the
Palestinian leader, I share the responsibility for them. Our
response has been to urge peace talks, but the Israeli leaders have
refused, and our children continue to suffer. Our people, who face
Israeli bullets, have no weapons: only a few stones remaining when
our homes are destroyed by the Israeli bulldozers.' Then repeat:
'What would you do, if these were your children and grandchildren?'
This exact litany should be repeated with a few other personal
examples."
Not
surprisingly, Carter's ardent hatred for
Israel
translates
into a Jeremiah Wright-esque hatred for the
United
States
-- the
country he has never forgiven for throwing him out on his ear in
1980 in favor of Ronald Reagan.
Here's
Carter on
America
's refusal
to fund Hamas: "Innocent Palestinian people are being treated
like animals, with the presumption that they are guilty of some
crime. Because they voted for candidates who are members of Hamas,
the
United
States
government
has become the driving force behind an apparently effective scheme
of depriving the general public of income, access to the outside
world and the necessities of life."
Jimmy
Carter is all about Jimmy Carter. During his presidency, he gave up
the
Panama
Canal
and
allowed the Ayatollahs to take power in
Iran
-- all for
the praise of the international community. In 1980, he asked the
Soviet
Union
to release
Jewish emigrants, hoping that such action would soften American
feeling against the
USSR
and
thereby swing the presidential election to him. In 1984, he told the
Russians that if Reagan were re-elected, there would not "be a
single agreement on arms control, especially on nuclear arms, as
long as Reagan remained in power." In 2002, Carter accepted the
Nobel Peace Prize, despite a clear indication by Nobel Committee
members that the prize was meant as a rebuke to President Bush.
Does
all this make Carter evil, or just a useful idiot? By all accounts,
Carter is highly intelligent -- perhaps the most intelligent
president of the last 50 years. It would be foolish to write him off
as simply naive. He is quite willing to be used by dictators from
Venezuela
to
Cuba
to
North Korea
, so long
as helping them polishes his legacy. For almost three decades,
Carter has pandered to enemies of Western civilization, shielding
his treasonous behavior with the title of "ex-president."
His Hamas-hugging is just the latest entry in a political diary that
would make Osama Bin Laden proud.
Ben Shapiro is a
regular guest on dozens of radio shows around the United States and
Canada and author of Project
President: Bad Hair and Botox on the Road to the White House
Comment:
This is an excellent example of a
classic assault on an y American
public figure that dares to express any opinion that
runs contrary to the wishes of
Israel
. Jimmy
Carter is not evil but Mr. Shapiro is nothing more than a loud shill
for Israel and her legions of supporters in the United States and,
most especially, in the American media. This is called “dual
loyalty” and people should remember that nearly all of the
American-based Soviet spies were Jewish. Then, their real loyalty
was to Communism whose ranks were filled with their co-religionists
and now their real loyalty is to the state of
Israel
. BH
SECRECY
NEWS
from
the FAS Project on Government Secrecy
Volume
2008, Issue No. 40
April 22,
2008
NATIONAL
SECURITY AND THE PRESIDENTIAL TRANSITION
"The
2008-2009 election marks the first presidential transition in the
post-9/11 era, and is of concern to many national security
observers," a new report from the Congressional Research
Service says.
"While
changes in administration during U.S. involvement in national
security related activities are not unique to the 2008-2009
election, many observers suggest that the current security climate
and recent acts of terrorism by individuals wishing to influence
national elections and change foreign policies portend a time of
increased risk to the current presidential transition period."
"This
report discusses historical national-security related presidential
transition activities, provides a representative sampling of
national security issues the next administration may encounter, and
offers considerations and options relevant to each of the five
phases of the presidential transition period."
See
"2008-2009 Presidential Transition: National Security
Considerations and Options,"
April 21,
2008
:
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/natsec/RL34456.pdf
Meanwhile,
"A growing community of interest, including Members of
Congress, senior officials in the executive branch, and think-tank
analysts, is calling for a reexamination of how well the U.S.
government, including both the executive branch and Congress, is
organized to apply all instruments of national power to national
security activities," according to another new CRS report.
"The
organizations and procedures used today to formulate strategy,
support presidential decision-making, plan and execute missions, and
budget for those activities are based on a framework established
just after World War II."
"The
'outdated bureaucratic superstructure' of the 20th century is an
inadequate basis for protecting the nation from 21st century
security challenges, critics contend, and the system itself, or
alternatively, some of its key components, requires revision."
The
new CRS report is intended "to help frame the emerging debates
by taking note of the leading advocates for change, highlighting
identified shortcomings in key elements of the current system, and
describing categories of emerging proposals for change."
See
"Organizing the
U.S.
Government
for National Security: Overview of the Interagency Reform
Debates,"
April 18,
2008
:
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/natsec/RL34455.pdf
The
Congressional Research Service, acting at the direction of Congress,
does not make its publications directly available to the public.
A
PRIMER ON SCIENCE POLICY, AND MORE FROM CRS
The
basic structures and procedures of science and technology
policymaking are presented in detail in a new report from the
Congressional Research Service. See "Science and Technology
Policymaking: A Primer,"
April 18,
2008
:
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL34454.pdf
Other
noteworthy new reports from the Congressional Research Service that
have not been made readily available online include the following.
"Information
Security and Data Breach Notification Safeguards," updated
April 3, 2008
:
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/secrecy/RL34120.pdf
"Congressional
Oversight of Intelligence: Current Structure and Alternatives,"
updated
April 1, 2008
:
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/intel/RL32525.pdf
"Data
Mining and Homeland Security: An Overview," updated
April 3, 2008
:
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/homesec/RL31798.pdf
"Security
Implications of
Taiwan
's
Presidential Election of March 2008,"
April 4, 2008
:
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RL34441.pdf
NATIONAL
SECURITY LETTERS AND SECRET LAW
The
implications of the expanded use of "national security
letters" by the FBI and other agencies to compel disclosure of
business record information will be explored in a hearing tomorrow
before the Senate Judiciary Committee.
http://judiciary.senate.gov/hearing.cfm?id=3255
For
an introduction to the subject see "National Security Letters
in Foreign Intelligence Investigations: Legal Background and Recent
Amendments," Congressional Research Service, updated
March 28,
2008
:
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/intel/RL33320.pdf
Next
week on April 30, Sen. Russ Feingold will chair a Senate Judiciary
subcommittee hearing on "Secret Law and the Threat to
Democratic and Accountable Government":
http://judiciary.senate.gov/hearing.cfm?id=3305
Commercial
Banks Heading for Huge Derivatives Losses- Credit Crisis Turning
into Credit
Armageddon
April 21, 2008
-
by
Money_and_Markets
While
most investors are focused on the latest stock market rally, hidden
from view is a monumental change that few recognize and fewer
understand: Unprecedented amounts of old debts are coming due in
America
, and many are
not getting refinanced.
Even
worse, borrowers are going into default, lenders are taking huge
losses, and outstanding loans are turning to dust.
The
numbers are large; the government's response is equally massive. So
before you look at one more stock quote or any other news item, I
think it behooves you to understand what this means and what to do
about it ...
New
Evidence of A Credit Crack-Up
Until
recently, economists have had only anecdotal evidence of credit
troubles.
They
knew that individual banks were taking losses. They knew that many
banks were tightening their lending standards. And they realized
that there were hiccups in the credit markets.
So
they called it the “credit crunch” — essentially a slowdown in
the pace of new credit growth.
But
we didn't buy that. Earlier this year, we warned that
America
's credit woes
involved much more than just a slowdown. We wrote that it was
actually a credit crack-up — an outright contraction of credit the
likes of which had never been witnessed in our lifetime.
Wall
Street scoffed. No one had seen anything like this happen before,
and almost everyone assumed that it would not happen now.
They
were wrong.
Indeed,
three new official reports are now telling us, point blank, that the
credit crack-up is already beginning!
First,
the Federal Reserve is reporting a big contraction in short-term
debts.
The
specifics: Based on its Flow of Funds Report (pdf page 18), we can
clearly see that ...
Just
in the third quarter of last year, “open market paper” (mostly
short-term commercial loans) was slashed at the annual rate of $682
billion ...
In
the fourth quarter, it shrunk again — at the rate of $337 billion
per year, and ...
This
shrinkage doesn't even begin to reflect the impact of the Bear
Stearns failure or the huge additional bank losses announced so far
this year.
I
repeat: This is not a mere “slowdown” in new lending, which
would be relatively routine. This is an actual reduction in the
short-term loans outstanding, which is anything but routine ...
which implies a rupture in the nation's credit spigots ... and which
could deliver a new shock to the
U.S.
economy.
If
this represented a planned and voluntary effort by lenders to begin
trimming
America
's debt
excesses, it might actually be a good thing.
But
that's not the case here, not even close. Rather, this debt
reduction is almost exclusively forced on lenders by the pressure of
events — the plunging value of mortgages, the surging defaults by
debtors, and the huge losses that have caught both banks and
regulators off guard.
Second,
the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) is reporting havoc in the
derivatives market.
Derivatives
are bets and debts placed by banks and others.
In
recent decades, derivatives have grown far beyond any semblance of
reason. But in its latest report , the OCC reveals that in the
fourth quarter of 2007 ...
For
the first time in history, the notional value of derivatives held by
U.S.
commercial
banks plunged dramatically — by $8 trillion ...
For
the first time in history,
U.S.
banks
suffered a massive overall loss on their derivatives — $9.97
billion, and, again ...
These
numbers do not yet reflect this year's disasters at Bear Sterns and
other institutions.
The
OCC's chart below illustrates the magnitude and drama of the decline
The
chart shows that, until the third quarter of last year,
U.S.
commercial
banks had been making consistent profits from their derivatives
quarter after quarter.
Their
total revenue from these and related transactions (red line) never
dipped into negative territory ... rarely suffered a significant
decline ... and was even making brand new highs through the first
half of 2007.
Then,
suddenly, in the fourth quarter of last year, we witnessed a
landmark game-changing event: For the first time ever,
U.S.
commercial
banks lost big money in derivatives in the aggregate ( as you can
plainly see by the sharp nosedive of the red line).
Again,
if this were part of a planned retreat by the banks to more prudent
trading approaches, it would be a positive. But it's anything but!
Indeed,
the OCC specifically states in its report that the sudden and
unusual reduction in derivatives was due entirely to the turmoil in
the credit markets.
And
ironically, nearly all of that turmoil was concentrated in “credit
swaps” (blue line in the chart) — the one sector that was
designed to protect investors from this precise situation.
These
credit swaps were supposed to act as insurance policies that big
banks and others bought to help cover their risk in the event of
defaults and failures. But they're not working out as planned: Just
in the fourth quarter,
U.S.
banks had a
net loss (after all profitable trades) of $11.8 billion on credit
swaps alone, according to the OCC.
Those
losses helped wipe out all the profits they made in other
derivatives, leaving a net overall loss of $9.97 billion.
Third,
the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that this crisis is
barely ONE-THIRD over!
In
its Global Financial Stability Report(see Executive Summary ), the
IMF predicts that the total losses from the subprime and related
credit crises could reach $945 billion, or more than triple the
already-huge losses that have been announced so far.
The
IMF further warns that ...
“There
has been a collective failure to appreciate the extent of the
leverage taken on by a wide range of institutions — including
banks, monoline insurers, government-sponsored entities, and hedge
funds — and the associated risks of a disorderly unwinding.”
Now, both the OCC and the Fed reports confirm that this
“disorderly unwinding” is already beginning.
“The
transfer of risks off bank balance sheets was overestimated. As
risks have materialized, this has placed enormous pressures back on
the balance sheets of banks.” Now, the OCC report confirms that
“the transfer of risk” (with credit swaps) has often failed.
“Notwithstanding
unprecedented intervention by major central banks, financial markets
remain under considerable strain, now compounded by a more worrisome
macroeconomic environment, weakly capitalized institutions, and
broad-based deleveraging.” This is precisely what we have been
warning you about. Now, it's happening!
Looking
ahead, the IMF also warns about...
“Deep-seated
balance-sheet fragilities and weak capital bases, which mean the
effects of the crisis are likely to be broader, deeper and more
protracted.”
“A
serious funding and confidence crisis that threatens to continue for
a significant period.”
The
U.S.
Government's
Response
You've
seen what the Fed has already done — six rate cuts since August of
last year ... unprecedented broker bailouts ... and massive new
amounts of liquidity pumped into the banking system.
You've
seen where a lot of that money has gone — into foreign currencies,
gold and oil.
And
you've seen the dramatic market surges which that money can
generate. Case in point: The latest jump in crude oil to $117 per
barrel.
Now,
get ready for more of the same:
More
rate cuts, with the next expected as soon as April 30 ...
More
Fed bailouts ...
Even
wilder money printing, and ...
Larger
surges in foreign currencies and commodities, despite intermediate
setbacks.
But
also start preparing for the day when the credit crack-up
temporarily overwhelms the Fed, driving the
U.S.
economy into
a far deeper recession than most people expect.
The
Bottom Line for You Right Now
The
three official reports support several related conclusions:
First,
whether the stock market goes up or down in the near term, this
crisis is far from over — and it's likely to get a lot worse.
Bottom
line: It's far too soon to waver from a path of safety.
Second,
credit is already scarcer and is probably going to be even harder to
get as this crisis progresses.
Bottom
line: If you're looking forward to a future day when you can buy
properties at bargain prices, don't count on doing so with a lot of
borrowed money. Instead, be prepared to put up substantial amounts
of cash.
Third,
some banks won't survive this crisis.
Bottom
line: Be sure to keep your bank accounts — including principal,
accrued interest and checks outstanding — under the FDIC's
$100,000 insurance limit. (Amounts that run above the limit could be
at risk.) Plus, for maximum safety, use U.S. Treasury bills or money
market funds invested exclusively in short-term Treasuries.
Fourth,
for protection and profit from a falling dollar, invest in the
strongest foreign currencies plus other assets that naturally rise
with the falling dollar
A Climate
Diasater Coming Soon?
Global
Cooling or Global Warming - Which Is It and How Can We Know?
April 11, 2008
by
Jo Hartley
NaturalNews
There
is huge disagreement in the scientific community about global
warming. Researchers on either side have no trouble finding data to
support their chosen theory. Recent climatic events highlight the
importance of not over interpreting short-term data - temperature
fluctuations either up or down. The environmental alarmists who have
been overstating connections between extreme weather conditions and
a man-made warming trend are on the opposite side of other
researchers who are sounding the warning bell about global cooling.
Both sides of the issue must be careful to avoid distortion of facts
to support beliefs.
The
key to interpretation is long-term trends. To focus on a few years
or months of climatic data and present any evidence of either
cooling or warming as been called a waste of time and perhaps even a
harmful distraction.
Over
the past year, informal evidence has begun to stack up supporting a
global cooling trend. For example, recently
Baghdad
saw its first
snowfall ever,
China
has recorded
its coldest winter in 100 years, and
North America
has more snow
cover this year than it has had in the last 50 years. Additionally,
record low temperatures have been recorded in Texas, Florida,
Minnesota, Mexico, Australia, Iran, Greenland, South Africa, Greece,
Argentina, and Chile, to name a few.
Recently,
supporters of a global cooling theory were boosted with the release
of data from all four global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley,
GISS, UAH, and RSS). All agree that over the past year temperatures
have dropped abruptly over the entire earth.
The
entire cooling amount ranges from 0.65C to 0.75C . This amount is
significant enough to eliminate almost all of the warming recorded
over the last 100 years. Most significant is the fact that this
cooling occurred over one year. All four tracking outlets confirmed
that this is the fastest temperature shift ever recorded, either up
or down.
It
is important to note that this new data does not disprove the
greenhouse emission theory; however, it does demonstrate that
another more powerful driver may now be cooling the earth.
Some
researchers are linking the cooling to a reduction of solar
activity. Solar activity has a much more significant effect on
temperatures than man-made greenhouse emissions. Research has shown
that solar activity occurs in regular cycles. The one expected to
begin at this time has not begun, however. Sunspots have disappeared
and all activity seems to be alarmingly quiet. The last time
circumstances were similar to this was right before the beginning of
the "Little Ice Age." Some scientists now fear a similar
sequence of events may be beginning.
The
Little Ice Age occurred roughly 400 years ago. During this period,
global temperatures dropped alarmingly.
New York
Harbor
froze solid
and glaciers in
Norway
increased by
100 meters a year.
Scientists
on either side of the global cooling/warming debate have begun to
agree on one thing. Long term data interpretation is the key to
beginning to understand the climatic changes our earth may be
experiencing.
Comment:
Scientists indeed can agree on nothing. The current concerns over
global climate change have produced endless theories, postulations
and many, many reams of paper. It is not the intention to
recapitulate these endless speculations here but some observations
might serve to enhance the theory that instead of universal
planetary warming, the actual trend is planetary cooling
Scientists
announced in the
July 21,
1999
, edition
of the journal Nature findings that suggest that global
warming can clearly lead to very cold Northern Hemisphere weather or
even a worldwide freeze.
Scientists
have long known that a severe cold spell occurred after the end of
the Pleistocene glaciation, approximately 8,200 years ago. The
cause, however, has been a mystery. The authors of the Nature
article write that the centuries long cold spell might have been
caused by meltwater from the disappearing glaciers, cooling the
North
Atlantic
.
The
Laurentide Ice Sheet covered parts of
North
America
with ice
up to two miles thick for more than a million years. When the Earth
began to warm 10,000 years ago, it retreated back toward the poles.
The ice sheet left in its wake at least two lakes containing more
water than the
Great
Lakes
combined.
When
these drained, through the
St.
Lawrence River
,
trillions of gallons gushed into the north
Atlantic
, flowing
out at 100 times the rate water leaves the
Mississippi
. This
cold water then adversely impacted on the northern reaches of the
Gulf
Stream
.
.
The
Atlantic
Gulf
Stream
normally acts like a conveyor belt to deliver warm tropical water to
temperate regions. By adding so much cold fresh water in such a
short time, the flood shut down the
Gulf
Stream
.
Temperatures
in
Greenland
and
Europe
dropped
by 6 to 15 degrees for at least 200 years, according to ice core
data.
The
authors’ conclusions demonstrate how global warming can,
paradoxically, provoke a global freeze. If a modern glacier such as
the immense Greenland Ice Sheet melts, as it very clearly has been
and at an escalating rate, the result
of rising Arctic temperatures, it can easily trigger a similar flood
and severe climate fluctuation.
The
rapid infusion of immense quantities of cold, fresh water into the
North
Atlantic
and the
subsequent dislocation of the
Gulf
Stream
, came
from what was known as
Lake
Agassiz
.
Lake
Agassiz, named after Swiss geologist Louis
Agassiz, was a 700-mile
long by 200-mile wide lake that once covered much of
Manitoba
as well
as parts of
Ontario
,
Saskatchewan
,
Minnesota
, and
North
Dakota
. It
was formed about 12,000 years ago at the end of the Pleistocene Epoch during last two phases of the Wisconsin
Glacial Age as a result of the accumulation of glacial meltwater
that was prevented from flowing northward by remnants of the Laurentide
Ice Sheet
Approximately
7500 to 8000 years ago, as the climate warmed further, the
Laurentide Ice Sheet melted sufficiently to allow the lake to drain through
the
Great Lakes
and Saint
Lawrence River into the Atlantic
Ocean..
These
events had significant impact on climate, sea level and possible
early human civilizations in the Younger
Dryas event.
BH
Glacial
lake transformed to titanic torrent
April 17, 2008
Associated
Press
WASHINGTON
- For an hour or so
Greenland
had its own mighty
waterfall, flowing secretly at three times the volume of
Niagara
.
A
meltwater lake on the surface of a glacier suddenly emptied in July
2006, sending millions of gallons (liters)of water through cracks in
the ice sheet to the ground where it could affect the movement of
the ice.
The
lake covered 2.2 square miles near the western edge of the ice sheet
and took about 24 hours to drain.
During
the most rapid 90 minutes, water was flowing out of the lake at 2.3
million gallons (8.71 million liters) per second, according to
researchers led by Sarah Das of Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute
in Woods Hole, Mass.
Under
international convention, the minimum flow of
Niagara Falls
in summer is about 750,000
gallons per second.
The
findings are reported in a pair of papers about the
Greenland
ice sheet appearing in
Thursday's online edition of the journal Science. Das and Ian
Joughin of the
University
of
Washington
in
Seattle
led the teams that produced
both papers.
"We
found clear evidence that supraglacial lakes - the pools of
meltwater that form on the surface in summer - can actually drive a
crack through the ice sheet," Das said in a statement.
The
researchers concluded that while surface melt plays a significant
role in overall ice sheet dynamics, it has less of an effect than
had been expected on the fast-moving glaciers that discharge ice to
the ocean.
The
research was funded by the U.S. National Science Foundation, NASA,
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute, Clark Arctic Research Initiative
and the Natural Environment Research Council of Britain.
Sorry
to ruin the fun, but an ice age cometh
April 23, 2008
by Phil Chapman
The Australian
The
scariest photo I have seen on the internet is www.spaceweather.com,
where you will find a real-time image of the sun from the Solar and
Heliospheric Observatory, located in deep space at the equilibrium
point between solar and terrestrial gravity.
Disconcerting
as it may be to true believers in global warming, the average
temperature on Earth has remained steady or slowly declined during
the past decade, despite the continued increase in the atmospheric
concentration of carbon dioxide, and now the global temperature is
falling precipitously.
All
four agencies that track Earth's temperature (the Hadley Climate
Research Unit in
Britain
, the NASA
Goddard Institute for Space Studies in
New York
, the Christy
group at the
University
of
Alabama
, and Remote
Sensing Systems Inc in
California
) report that
it cooled by about 0.7C in 2007. This is the fastest temperature
change in the instrumental record and it puts us back where we were
in 1930. If the temperature does not soon recover, we will have to
conclude that global warming is over.
There
is also plenty of anecdotal evidence that 2007 was exceptionally
cold. It snowed in
Baghdad
for the first
time in centuries, the winter in
China< |